There is no definitive prediction, just a lot of speculation about where debris from an 8.5 ton Chinese space station could land as early as next week. A computer model generated by Aeorspace.com indicates that the southern half of lower Michigan could be among the areas most likely to see any debris from Tiangong-1 that survives reentry.

On the infographic below, the map indicates the relative probabilities of where debris could land, should it survive reentry. Regions in yellow have a higher probability while areas shaded in green have a lower probability. Aerospace says that areas shaded in blue have no chance of seeing debris from the space station.

TG-1 Debris coverage map
Aerospace.com
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Aerospace indicates that April 3rd is the most likely date for any surviving debris to fall to earth, and indicates there could be a two-week margin of error on either side of that date.

Reports indicate that much of Tiangong-1 is expected to burn up as it reenters the earth's atmosphere, but chunks weighing as much as 220 pounds could reach the ground.

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